Friday, September 26, 2014

Jim Willie: The Crash Heard Round the World- Saudis to Reject USD for Oil Payments

'The bigger principal cause of the systemic failure is the US War Machine, which has been around longer than the debutante Fascist Business Model that made its introduction in 2002. Half the $17 trillion in US Govt debt comes from war spending..'

Putin kicked out the Rothschild bankers from his country. Putin interrupted the USGovt heroin trade supply routes out of Afghanistan. Like Abraham Lincoln 150 years ago, the elite banker chambers wish to remove Putin and to suppress Russia, but the sprawling nation has joined at the hip with China. Thus Russia cannot be isolated any more than a bear can be bear hugged. The nation spans 12 time zones and is a top supplier of numerous important commodities. The Russia & China bond is growing and will result in a marriage, the consummation being a baby called the Gold Trade Standard. The King Dollar is being displaced, kicked off its throne. Its squire the Petro-Dollar is undergoing demise. The Ukraine War is the US Dollar Waterloo event.

The Saudi rejection of the USD in exclusive oil payments will be the crash heard around the world.

The marriage between the Saudis and Chinese is a process well along, with each month featuring yet another high level conference. The Saudis will make the announcement in the coming weeks or months, as a genuflection before the Chinese, with a hat tip to the Russians. Soon the crude oil price will be set by the Russia-China tag team, priced in Yuan. When the Gold Trade Standard is entrenched, the diversification away from USTreasurys in the global banking system will become a torrent. Bank system practices will follow trade payment practices. When installed, it will cause prosperity in the East and havoc in the West. The Crash Heard Round the World is coming. The USDollar will be rejected, and replaced by the Gold Trade Standard.

The USFed monetary policy is killing the system, simply and boldly put. They call it stimulus, when the extreme accommodation is actually just a backdoor Wall Street bailout combined with a pass on the USGovt debt discipline. No debt limit is enforced anymore, a travesty. The United States is looking more like a Third World nation with each passing month, with colossal fraud, economic decay, war and sanctions, and no leadership. The US Federal Reserve has ventured into very dangerous ground, putting hyper monetary inflation as the installed policy, while making money free for the Interest Rate Swap machinery that operates the derivative for maintaining the easy policy.

So foreign creditors have largely exited the room, with no great entities to finance the yawning annual $trillion debt. So derivative machinery is relied upon to maintain the absurd 10-year USTreasury (TNX) yield at 2.60% without buyers. So asset markets like the US Stock Market go to monthly new high levels, despite the USEconomy mired in the worst recession since the Great Depression. The visible piece is shopping malls with one third of stores shuttered, and the jobless rate over 22% in the real world without rose colored glasses. These conditions cannot be sustained, especially since the credit machinery is all jammed. The big US banks are insolvent structures dedicated to the bond carry trade, where that same cheap money is used to invest, often with leverage, in the long-dated maturity USTreasury Bonds. The banks serve the casino, not the business sector.

STUCK MONETARY POLICY
In no way can the current easy money policy be reversed, and put into a normal mode. In no way can the accommodation be tapered. The entire Taper Talk is a lie, and always has been a lie. The Jackass called out the USFed last June and July, and was proved correct by September. Since that time, the USFed has been lying vigorously and creatively. The Belgium Bulge showed itself as a $400+ billion abscess visible to the world, hardly a real savings account by the small nation. It was either a Hidey Hole for USTBonds or else a loading depot for BRICS sourcing of Gold bullion for their upcoming central bank. In no way can the enormous bond carry trades be stopped. They are the only source of actual income for the big US banks. Their other source of narco funds money laundering. Doing so would put the carry trade engines into reverse, forcing an unwanted Bond Convexity episode of leveraged selling of USTreasury Bonds by the same large corrupted banks which are so clearly involved in the derivatives game. In no way can the USFed hike rates, since their own outsized bond portfolio would register huge losses, only to gain ugly publicity. They after all bought the top in bonds, and continue to buy the top in bonds every month that QE continues. They are the fools buying the asset bubble at the top. See a parallel in Japan.


Red light warning signals are all over the place. The biggest in the Jackass view is the Failures to Deliver. We are told that the demand for USTreasurys is huge by the market players. It might be moderate, but surely not huge, since savings is in shortage. When the Interest Rate Swaps are applied, using 0% money into the machinery tubes, the result is an artificial demand produced to purchase the same USTreasurys. The big US banks are required to follow through, or else to expose the entire sham game, a veritable Ponzi Scheme. The banks are growing in resentment. However, not enough USTBonds exist in the operating bond market to satisfy such outsized contrived demand out of machinery. The result is Failures to Deliver, the warning signal of a fabricated rigged market. This Third World nation has fancy machinery indeed... 
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