High levels of testing, age of patients and a strong healthcare system: how Germany became Europe’s first country to flatten the curve

The streets of the hedonistic city of Berlin are eerily empty. As night approaches, bars and restaurants are shuttered and streets are deserted. Even the drug dealers still hanging around notorious Görlitzer Park are wearing disposable gloves. Unlike the UK, Italy, France and SpainGermany has stopped short of ordering a nationwide lockdown, instead opting for strict social-distancing measures, including a ban on gatherings of more than two people. Only the state of Bavaria, where the first cases were detected in January, has announced a full lockdown.

Germany has so far avoided the catastrophic levels of infection that have ravaged Spain and Italy: by Wednesday, 181 people had died from Covid-19 with 35,714 confirmed cases. In comparison, more than 6,800 people have died in Italy, and more than 3,400 in Spain. Cases have topped 69,000 and 47,000 respectively.   Germany’s low mortality rate has puzzled experts. One theory is that it may be due to the disease spreading amongst a younger age group. According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), Germany’s main agency for disease control, the average age of those who have tested positive for coronavirus is 47 years old. 

In Italy, where the mortality rate is 9 per cent, the average age of sufferers is 63. Experts believe that Germany’s major outbreaks stemmed from carnival celebrations and young people returning from ski trips in Italy and Austria. Elderly citizens are also less likely to live with younger members of the family than those in southern Europe. Germany has also looked at the crisis developing in other countries and made sure its healthcare system is ready. 

“We have been on high alert since January, when the first cases were detected, and we have had time to prepare,” says Professor Marilyn Addo, head of infectious diseases at University Medical Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf. She adds that Germany has learnt from other countries and has been stocking up on test kits and respirators. The high levels of preparation mean Germany has even had capacity to take in a number of critically ill Italian patients – six arrived at Leipzig airport in the eastern state of Saxony on Tuesday morning.

The country also has one of the most robust public health systems in the world, spending $5182 per capita on healthcare, compared to the UK’s $3377. There are nevertheless concerns that it may still not be able to deal with an outbreak the size of Italy’s. “I think we have prepared as well as we possibly can, at this time,” says Addo. “In our hospital we have seven Covid patients in intensive care, and we have enough ward space for many more.”...


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