Simon Tisdall: Erdoğan’s calamitous Syrian blunder has finally broken his spell over Turkey // JUAN COLE: Netanyahu’s Himalayan Miscalculation on Iran: Bringing China into the Mideast
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey’s
belligerent president, were a true patriot with his country’s security and
wellbeing at heart, he would resign immediately. He has made an appalling hash
of things. His Syrian misadventure, while unusually calamitous, is but the
latest in a long line of foreign blunders. Erdoğan abuses his position. He
harms his country. He is still in office not because he is popular but because
of the fear he instils and the power he crudely wields. It’s time for him to
go.
Getting rid of Erdoğan is a matter for the
Turks. And it wouldn’t be quite as difficult as it might sound. Having said
that, doing the decent thing is not Erdoğan’s strong suit. His 16 years in
power – as prime minister and then president – have been marked, at home, by
growing authoritarianism and repression. The economy is an indebted mess.
Corruption and nepotism thrive. After a 2016 military-led coup failed, Erdoğan
exploited it to purge political opponents, the judiciary, civil society and the
media. Tens of thousands of supposed plotters were jailed....
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/oct/15/erdogan-syria-turkey-democracy-dictatorshipJUAN COLE: Netanyahu’s Himalayan Miscalculation on Iran: Bringing China into the Mideast
The Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu is one of the world players who pushed Trump to breach the 2015 treaty with Iran. Trump then slapped the severest economic sanctions on Iran ever imposed on any country in the absence of war. Trump went around the world menacing other countries into ceasing to buy Iranian petroleum and threatening billions in fines against any company anywhere in the world that invested in or traded with Iran.
This economic and financial blockade was supposed to bring Iran to its knees, push it out of Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, and perhaps (it was hoped by some in Trump’s circles) even pave the way to the overthrow of the Islamic Republic of Iran... Instead, Netanyahu and Trump have pushed Iran straight into the arms of China which is investing $400 billion in the country and which is now taking most of Iran’s oil exports. China seems intent on integrating Iran into its economy even more robustly than it had proposed with Pakistan.
In foreign policy,
China supports the al-Assad government in Syria and so is a silent partner with
Iran and Russia in this regard. Hawks in Washington had hoped to see al-Assad
overthrown in favor of Sunni fundamentalists who might join a US-Saudi-Israel
axis (this was always a pipe dream and some of the actual Sunni fundamentalists
affiliated to al-Qaeda). China has investments
in Iraqi petroleum and was extremely alarmed by so-called Islamic State group
or ISIL, which it was afraid would infect the 20 million Chinese Muslims with
radicalism. It is therefore happy enough to have a strong Shiite anti-ISIL
government in Baghdad allied with equally anti-ISIL Shiite Iran....