Bharat Bhushan: India may find it difficult to counter increasing Chinese influence in Bangladesh
NB: This is especially ironic because of India's role in the emergence of Bangladesh as an independent country; and China's furious opposition to the break-up of Pakistan in 1971. China even used its veto to block Bangladesh's entry into the UNO in August 1972. (India had supported China's membership of the Security Council). DS
India has gone into
overdrive to initiate new projects in Bangladesh and improve cross-border
trade. This week it delivered ten broad-gauge locomotives to Dhaka, and earlier
this month, that is, July 2020, it launched a multi-modal transport link
opening up supply lines from Chittagong port to its northeastern states. This
is in the wake of China’s successful economic diplomacy. China announced tariff
exemptions for 97 percent of all exports from Bangladesh (excluding
narcotics-based products) from 1 July 2020.
This decision addressed
Bangladesh’s yawning trade deficit with China and the economic hardships caused
by the pandemic. Beijing’s moves coincided opportunely with the India-China
military face-off in Eastern Ladakh. India had given duty-free concessions to several Bangladesh products almost a decade earlier, but the reality in that country has changed.
Dhaka has become more
Beijing-friendly over time. Although China’s recognition of Bangladesh as a
sovereign country was as late as 1975 - the advantages that China enjoys over
India have hugely increased since then. Apart from its enlarged economic
footprint, there are concerted efforts to counter India’s cultural and language
advantage.
China is now the
largest supplier of arms to Bangladesh. It is its second-largest arms-export
destination, behind only Pakistan. Bangladesh has acquired two submarines, five
maritime patrol vessels, 16 fighter jets, 44 tanks and anti-ship and
surface-to-surface missiles from China. Beijing is also constructing the
country’s first submarine base in Cox’s Bazar….
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